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Menu price perception
March 12, 2008

A new national study from Technomic Inc., the Chicago-based market research firm, shows that a significant portion of restaurant-goers believe menu prices at full-service eateries are higher than they actually are. Technomic called it a "disconcerting finding" because it suggests that customers are already looking for ways to trim the amount of money they spend in restaurants. And this is one more excuse. Among other findings:

  • The majority of consumers expect menu prices will increase more than 10 percent during the next 3 to 6 months.
  • Most consumers (65 percent) believe the highest menu price increases will be in large, national chains and among high check average concepts.
  • Consumer perceptions of average check, by brand, are 10 to 15 percent higher than actual average check amounts, by brand.  Consumers believe they are spending more than they actually are.
  • Over half of consumers (59 percent) expect to reduce their full-service restaurant visit frequency as prices continue to rise.
Check out that last bulleted item. Granted, many people don't do exactly as they say but the considerable recent success of McDonald's, Burger King and Chipotle indicates the eroding of full-service's market share is underway. 

Could this lunch meeting do with one less?
NPD Groups Harry Balzer believes something something even more significant is happening. During a recent interview for a story I was writing about marketing, he brought up the subject of price, suggesting consumers always figure out a way to moderate costs. 

"They say, 'Let's not go out to eat at lunch but breakfast instead,'" he said. His proof: Menu prices climbed about 4 percent last year though overall check average grew just 2 percent, he added. 

In fact, Balzer argues that casual dining's current troubles have been going on for "some time."  He thinks current trends are merely indicative of "a re-definition" of the market. 

"Here's something I picked up," he offered." We haven't seen business lunches [at full-service restaurants] taking much of a hit, even though you'd think businesses would be pulling back. We've been watching this for about a year, and we're now noticing a shift to smaller parties. So a businessperson doesn't have to necessarily change price points but is able to moderate the overall cost of the meal. No one ever thinks of it that way."

Posted by David Farkas on March 12, 2008 | Comments (2)


March 12, 2008
In response to: Menu price perception
Observer commented:

One would think when sales slow down, companies would encourage sales people to get out on the road which in turn would lead to more personal meals and more meals with customers. That's the rational approach, anyway. What dumb companies do is cut their sales reps T&E budgets and then wonder why sales are dropping.




March 12, 2008
In response to: Menu price perception
Steve commented:

Ron Pauls Technomic is in time and on target once again! It's easy to see why he is a true industry leader. Dave thank you.





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